Future Change and Water Scarcity
The Change and Water Scarcity Focus Area is led by Enda O’Connell, Chris Kilsby (Newcastle University) and Adrian McDonald (Leeds University).
The UK Climate Impacts Programme (UKCIP) suggests that, under current climate change modelling scenarios, future summers could become hotter and drier while winters will become warmer and wetter. This is predicted to be most pronounced in the south and east of England where water scarcity is likely to become a major issue and a range of options for managing the supply-demand balance will need to be investigated. There is a need to ensure that water resource planning and the assessment of options take adequate account of uncertainty.
WORKSHOP on “Water Demand Management in a Changing Climate”
Our second Workshop “Water Demand Management in a Changing Climate” was held in Birmingham on 1st February 2011.
A meeting Report Summary is available. Presentations are available to view as .pdf files.
Enda O’Connell, Newcastle University
Water Demand Management in a Changing Climate – an introduction
Adrian McDonald, Leeds University
Workshop Aims and Objectives
Pete Boden, Edge Analytics
Water Demand: demographic change and uncertainty
Ben Piper, Atkins
Future water demand in light of uncertainty regarding climate change
Chris Kilsby, Newcastle University
Water demand estimation using UKCP09
Clare Ridgewell, Essex and Suffolk Water
Influencing water demand behaviour
Simon Barnes, IGD
Assessing water in the grocery supply chain
James Gilchrist, OFWAT
Addressing the challenges of water demand and climate change
Magda Styles, Environment Agency
Water Demand: an EA perspective
Workshop on “Water Resources Management in a Changing Climate”
Our first Workshop in this Focus Area ‘ Water Resource Management in a Changing Climate’ was held at Birmingham University in February 2010. It explored methods for using the UKCP09 future climate scenarios in water resources assessment and mechanisms for transferring this knowledge to water companies so that they can update their water resources assessments using the best available science. Whilst the UKCP09 scenarios focus on water supply in the future, Alison Browne (LEC) outlined her complimentary new EPSRC project ‘Adaptive and Resilient Water Systems ‘ARCC-Water’ that focuses on developing a practice-based model of water demand . The project will target S and SE England, regions already vulnerable to climate stresses, and likely to be most vulnerable to any future climate change and growth in water demand. Research results will help frame the terms of the next Periodic Review and provide tools and data for a more integrated treatment of climate change impacts that can be rolled out across the UK. Meeting notes including summaries of presentations and a synthesis of the Workshop can be found here
Hall J.W. et al., (2012) Towards risk-based water resources planning in England and Wales under a changing climate Water and Environment Journal 26 118-129